● LIVE
VS
SvajdaTien
Zachary Svajda vs Learner Tien
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 2 · Hard · 5-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather17°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeSvajda $1.9M · Tien $4.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Svajda (Elo 1534) meets Tien (Elo 1835). The model favours Tien at 85%. Form: Svajda 1L, Tien 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 15%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Zachary Svajda 18% · Learner Tien 82% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Svajda ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Svajda–Tien order).
Learner Tien projected to win · 86% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%4-6 2-6 · 5%2-6 4-6 · 4%
Straight sets 65% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →