● LIVE
VS
CobolliMannarino
Flavio Cobolli vs Adrian Mannarino
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 2 · Hard · 1-6 6-4 3-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather17°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeCobolli $8.4M · Mannarino $14.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Cobolli (Elo 1732) meets Mannarino (Elo 1599). The model favours Cobolli at 68%. Form: Cobolli 1L, Mannarino 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 68%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Flavio Cobolli 60% · Adrian Mannarino 40% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Cobolli ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Cobolli–Mannarino order).
Flavio Cobolli projected to win · 71% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%7-6 6-4 · 3%6-3 7-6 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →