● LIVE
VS
MachacBublik
Tomas Machac vs Alexander Bublik
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 2 · Hard · 4-6 4-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather17°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeMachac $6.8M · Bublik $10.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Machac (Elo 1738) meets Bublik (Elo 1767). The model favours Bublik at 54%. Form: Machac 1L, Bublik 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 46%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Tomas Machac 27% · Alexander Bublik 73% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Machac ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Machac–Bublik order).
Alexander Bublik projected to win · 55% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →