Round 3
VS
SakamotoMinaur
Rei Sakamoto vs Alex de Minaur
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 3 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☁️ Weather20°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeSakamoto $490K · Minaur $25.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Sakamoto (Elo 1430) meets Minaur (Elo 1859). The model favours Minaur at 92%. Form: Sakamoto 1L, Minaur 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 8%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Sakamoto–Minaur order).
Alex de Minaur projected to win · 93% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 10%2-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 6%
Straight sets 72% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →