● LIVE
VS
FritzTsitsipas
Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 3 · Hard · 4-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather18°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeFritz $30.3M · Tsitsipas $37.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Fritz (Elo 1829) meets Tsitsipas (Elo 1699). The model favours Fritz at 68%. Form: Fritz 1L, Tsitsipas 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 68%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Taylor Fritz 70% · Stefanos Tsitsipas 30% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Fritz ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Fritz–Tsitsipas order).
Taylor Fritz projected to win · 69% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 7%6-3 7-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →