● LIVE
VS
AlcarazBergs
Carlos Alcaraz vs Zizou Bergs
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 3 · Hard · 5-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather18°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeAlcaraz $64.9M · Bergs $3.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Alcaraz (Elo 2117) meets Bergs (Elo 1635). The model favours Alcaraz at 94%. Form: Alcaraz 1L, Bergs 5L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 94%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Carlos Alcaraz 88% · Zizou Bergs 12% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Alcaraz ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Alcaraz–Bergs order).
Carlos Alcaraz projected to win · 93% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 10%6-3 6-2 · 6%6-1 6-4 · 4%
Straight sets 73% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →