● LIVE
VS
GeaShelton
Arthur Gea vs Ben Shelton
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 3 · Hard · 3-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
⛅ Weather20°C · Partly cloudy
💰 Career prizeGea $484K · Shelton $12.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Gea (Elo 1540) meets Shelton (Elo 1840). The model favours Shelton at 85%. Form: Gea 3L, Shelton 4W.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 15%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Arthur Gea 15% · Ben Shelton 85% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Gea ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Gea–Shelton order).
Ben Shelton projected to win · 83% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%4-6 2-6 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 4%
Straight sets 62% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →