● LIVE
VS
Auger-AliassimeRuud
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 4 · Hard · 1-2
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather19°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeAuger-Aliassime $22.6M · Ruud $27.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Auger-Aliassime (Elo 1856) meets Ruud (Elo 1461). The model favours Auger-Aliassime at 91%. Form: Auger-Aliassime 1L, Ruud 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 91%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Felix Auger-Aliassime 57% · Casper Ruud 43% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Auger-Aliassime ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Auger-Aliassime–Ruud order).
Felix Auger-Aliassime projected to win · 91% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 9%6-3 6-2 · 5%6-1 6-4 · 4%
Straight sets 69% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →