● LIVE
VS
TsitsipasMedvedev
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil Medvedev
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 4 · Hard · 3-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather19°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeTsitsipas $37.7M · Medvedev $51.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Tsitsipas (Elo 1699) meets Medvedev (Elo 1899). The model favours Medvedev at 76%. Form: Tsitsipas 1L, Medvedev 1W.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 24%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Stefanos Tsitsipas 23% · Daniil Medvedev 77% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Tsitsipas ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Tsitsipas–Medvedev order).
Daniil Medvedev projected to win · 76% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 9%4-6 6-7 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 4%
Straight sets 57% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →