Round 4
VS
KhachanovMinaur
Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaur
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 4 · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather19°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeKhachanov $22.5M · Minaur $25.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Khachanov (Elo 1699) meets Minaur (Elo 1859). The model favours Minaur at 72%. Form: Khachanov 1L, Minaur 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 28%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Khachanov–Minaur order).
Alex de Minaur projected to win · 72% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 7%2-6 4-6 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →