Quarterfinal
VS
MinaurZverev
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Zverev
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Quarterfinal · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☁️ Weather17°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeMinaur $25.0M · Zverev $65.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Minaur (Elo 1859) meets Zverev (Elo 1354). The model favours Minaur at 95%. Form: Minaur 1L, Zverev 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 95%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Minaur–Zverev order).
Alex de Minaur projected to win · 94% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 11%6-3 6-2 · 6%6-3 7-6 · 4%
Straight sets 75% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →