● LIVE
VS
BergsPaul
Zizou Bergs vs Tommy Paul
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 4 · Hard · 5-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☀️ Weather19°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeBergs $3.8M · Paul $13.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Bergs (Elo 1635) meets Paul (Elo 1820). The model favours Paul at 74%. Form: Bergs 5L, Paul 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 26%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Zizou Bergs 24% · Tommy Paul 76% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Bergs ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Bergs–Paul order).
Tommy Paul projected to win · 75% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 7%4-6 6-7 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 3%
Straight sets 58% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →