● LIVE
VS
BublikZverev
Alexander Bublik vs Alexander Zverev
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Round 4 · Hard · 5-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
💰 Prize pool$9,196,000
☁️ Weather20°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeBublik $10.9M · Zverev $65.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Bublik (Elo 1767) meets Zverev (Elo 1354). The model favours Bublik at 92%. Form: Bublik 1L, Zverev 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 92%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Alexander Bublik 45% · Alexander Zverev 55% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Bublik ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Bublik–Zverev order).
Alexander Bublik projected to win · 92% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 9%6-3 6-2 · 6%6-1 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 71% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →