● LIVE
VS
VukicMannarino
Aleksandar Vukic vs Adrian Mannarino
ATP Almaty Open · Round 1 · Hard · 6-7(4) 2-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueAlmaty, Kazakhstan
☀️ Weather6°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeVukic $3.4M · Mannarino $14.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Vukic (Elo 1528) meets Mannarino (Elo 1599). The model favours Mannarino at 60%. Form: Vukic 2L, Mannarino 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 40%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Aleksandar Vukic 16% · Adrian Mannarino 84% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Vukic ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Vukic–Mannarino order).
Adrian Mannarino projected to win · 63% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 2%4-6 2-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →