FT
VS
RublevMannarino
Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino
ATP Almaty Open · Round 2 · Hard · 4-6 6-3 3-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueAlmaty, Kazakhstan
💰 Career prizeRublev $32.7M · Mannarino $14.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 72%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Andrey Rublev 62% · Adrian Mannarino 38% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Rublev ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Rublev–Mannarino order).
Andrey Rublev projected to win · 68% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%7-6 6-4 · 3%4-6 4-6 · 3%
Straight sets 53% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 6-3 3-6