FT
VS
ShimabukuroMedvedev
Sho Shimabukuro vs Daniil Medvedev
ATP Almaty Open · Round 2 · Hard · 2-6 1-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueAlmaty, Kazakhstan
💰 Career prizeShimabukuro $995K · Medvedev $51.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 9%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Sho Shimabukuro 0% · Daniil Medvedev 100% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Shimabukuro ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Shimabukuro–Medvedev order).
Daniil Medvedev projected to win · 92% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%2-6 4-6 · 6%4-6 2-6 · 6%
Straight sets 73% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 2-6 1-6