● LIVE
VS
MannarinoBasilashvili
Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Almaty Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 3-6 1-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueAlmaty, Kazakhstan
🌤️ Weather9°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeMannarino $14.4M · Basilashvili $9.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Mannarino (Elo 1599) meets Basilashvili (Elo 1492). The model favours Mannarino at 65%. Form: Mannarino 1L, Basilashvili 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 65%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Adrian Mannarino 1% · Nikoloz Basilashvili 99% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Mannarino ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mannarino–Basilashvili order).
Adrian Mannarino projected to win · 66% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%4-6 4-6 · 3%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 52% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →