● LIVE
VS
BasilashviliMedvedev
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniil Medvedev
ATP Almaty Open · Final · Hard · 7-6(6) 1-6 3-4
🕐 Time10:00 UTC
📍 VenueAlmaty, Kazakhstan
☀️ Weather0°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeBasilashvili $9.6M · Medvedev $51.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Basilashvili (Elo 1492) meets Medvedev (Elo 1899). The model favours Medvedev at 91%. Form: Basilashvili 1L, Medvedev 1W.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 9%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Nikoloz Basilashvili 19% · Daniil Medvedev 81% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Basilashvili ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Basilashvili–Medvedev order).
Daniil Medvedev projected to win · 89% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 10%2-6 4-6 · 5%6-7 3-6 · 5%
Straight sets 68% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →