FT
VS
MichelsenFils
Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils
ATP BNP Paribas Fortis European Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 4-6 6-7(12)
🕐 Time16:30 UTC
📍 VenueBrussels, Belgium
💰 Career prizeMichelsen $4.0M · Fils $7.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 28%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Alex Michelsen 15% · Arthur Fils 85% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Michelsen ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Michelsen–Fils order).
Arthur Fils projected to win · 71% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 7%4-6 6-7 · 4%4-6 2-6 · 3%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 6-7(12)