● LIVE
VS
BaezHerbert
Sebastian Baez vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes · Round 1 · Hard · 3-6 2-2
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLyon, France
🌧️ Weather12°C · Light rain
💰 Career prizeBaez $6.8M · Herbert $10.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Baez (Elo 1562) meets Herbert (Elo 1423). The model favours Baez at 69%. Form: Baez 3L, Herbert 7L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 69%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Sebastian Baez 38% · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 62% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Baez ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Baez–Herbert order).
Sebastian Baez projected to win · 68% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%6-3 7-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →