FT
VS
BaezHerbert
Sebastian Baez vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes · Round 1 · Hard · 3-6 4-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLyon, France
💰 Career prizeBaez $6.8M · Herbert $10.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 69%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Sebastian Baez 7% · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 93% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Baez ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Baez–Herbert order).
Sebastian Baez projected to win · 68% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%6-3 7-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 3-6 4-6