● LIVE
VS
PaulMoutet
Tommy Paul vs Corentin Moutet
ATP Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes · Quarterfinal · Hard · 6-4 3-6 5-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLyon, France
☁️ Weather16°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizePaul $13.8M · Moutet $6.1M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Paul (Elo 1820) meets Moutet (Elo 1646). The model favours Paul at 73%. Form: Paul 1L, Moutet 6L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 73%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Tommy Paul 95% · Corentin Moutet 5% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Paul ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Paul–Moutet order).
Tommy Paul projected to win · 73% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%6-3 6-2 · 3%6-3 7-6 · 3%
Straight sets 54% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →