● LIVE
VS
FritzPaul
Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paul
ATP Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes · Semifinal · Hard · 6-3 3-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueLyon, France
☁️ Weather10°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeFritz $30.3M · Paul $13.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Fritz (Elo 1829) meets Paul (Elo 1820). The model favours Fritz at 51%. Form: Fritz 1L, Paul 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 51%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Taylor Fritz 71% · Tommy Paul 29% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Fritz ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Fritz–Paul order).
Taylor Fritz projected to win · 52% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 6-7 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →