● LIVE
VS
HalysRune
Quentin Halys vs Holger Rune
ATP Swiss Indoors Basel · Round 1 · Hard · 4-6 4-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBasel, Switzerland
☁️ Weather9°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeHalys $5.4M · Rune $15.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Halys (Elo 1572) meets Rune (Elo 1804). The model favours Rune at 79%. Form: Halys 2L, Rune 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 21%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Quentin Halys 21% · Holger Rune 79% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Halys ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Halys–Rune order).
Holger Rune projected to win · 79% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 9%4-6 6-7 · 4%6-7 3-6 · 4%
Straight sets 58% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →