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FT
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VacherotRune

Valentin Vacherot vs Holger Rune

ATP Swiss Indoors Basel · Quarterfinal · Hard · 6-3 3-6 6-3

🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueBasel, Switzerland
💰 Career prizeVacherot $3.4M · Rune $15.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance

Predictions — Win probability

Valentin Vacherot45%
Holger Rune55%

Elo 45%

📈 Win-probability timeline

Valentin Vacherot 91% · Holger Rune 9% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Vacherot ahead

🎾 Projected Score

From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Vacherot–Rune order).

Holger Rune projected to win · 56% — most likely 4-6 4-6

4-6 4-6 · 6%6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 6-7 · 2%

Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →

Actual: 6-3 3-6 6-3

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