● LIVE
VS
TiafoeMusetti
Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Erste Bank Open · Round 1 · Hard · 6-7(6) 3-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
💰 Career prizeTiafoe $17.2M · Musetti $15.0M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 92%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Frances Tiafoe 21% · Lorenzo Musetti 79% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Tiafoe ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Tiafoe–Musetti order).
Frances Tiafoe projected to win · 93% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 8%6-3 6-2 · 7%6-1 6-4 · 4%
Straight sets 72% · avg ~22 games · projection accuracy →