● LIVE
VS
BasilashviliRodionov
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Jurij Rodionov
ATP Erste Bank Open · Round 1 · Hard · 6-6(3)
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
🌤️ Weather9°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeBasilashvili $9.6M · Rodionov $1.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Basilashvili (Elo 1492) meets Rodionov (Elo 1499). The model favours Rodionov at 51%. Form: Basilashvili 1L, Rodionov 3L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 49%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Nikoloz Basilashvili 49% · Jurij Rodionov 51% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Basilashvili ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Basilashvili–Rodionov order).
Jurij Rodionov projected to win · 51% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%6-3 6-4 · 5%4-6 6-7 · 3%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~26 games · projection accuracy →