FT
VS
MannarinoMensik
Adrian Mannarino vs Jakub Mensik
ATP Erste Bank Open · Round 2 · Hard · 6-4 7-5
🕐 Time15:30 UTC
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
💰 Career prizeMannarino $14.4M · Mensik $6.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 21%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Adrian Mannarino 89% · Jakub Mensik 11% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Mannarino ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mannarino–Mensik order).
Jakub Mensik projected to win · 77% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%4-6 2-6 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 4%
Straight sets 58% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-4 7-5