🎾
FT
VS
MedvedevMerida
Daniil Medvedev vs Daniel Merida
ATP Erste Bank Open · Round 1 · Hard · 7-6(5) 6-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
💰 Career prizeMedvedev $51.2M · Merida $660K
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 89%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Daniil Medvedev 100% · Daniel Merida 0% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Medvedev ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Medvedev–Merida order).
Daniil Medvedev projected to win · 89% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 9%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-3 7-6 · 4%
Straight sets 67% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 7-6(5) 6-1