● LIVE
VS
MedvedevMannarino
Daniil Medvedev vs Adrian Mannarino
ATP Erste Bank Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 6-2 2-3
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
☁️ Weather9°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeMedvedev $51.2M · Mannarino $14.4M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Medvedev (Elo 1899) meets Mannarino (Elo 1599). The model favours Medvedev at 85%. Form: Medvedev 1W, Mannarino 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 85%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Daniil Medvedev 91% · Adrian Mannarino 9% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Medvedev ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Medvedev–Mannarino order).
Daniil Medvedev projected to win · 85% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 7%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-3 7-6 · 4%
Straight sets 63% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →