FT
VS
MinaurZverev
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Zverev
ATP Erste Bank Open · Semifinal · Hard · 6-4 1-6 7-6(4)
🕐 Time15:30 UTC
📍 VenueVienna, Austria
💰 Career prizeMinaur $25.0M · Zverev $65.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 95%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Minaur–Zverev order).
Alex de Minaur projected to win · 95% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 12%6-3 6-2 · 7%6-1 6-4 · 5%
Straight sets 78% · avg ~21 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-4 1-6 7-6(4)