● LIVE
VS
OstapenkoFernandez
Jelena Ostapenko vs Leylah Fernandez
WTA Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open · Round 3 · Hard · 6-1 1-6 4-3
🕐 Time07:00 UTC
📍 VenueWuhan, China PR
💰 Prize pool$3,654,963
🌦️ Weather20°C · Drizzle
💰 Career prizeOstapenko $19.4M · Fernandez $7.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Ostapenko (Elo 1691) meets Fernandez (Elo 1456). The model favours Ostapenko at 79%. Form: Ostapenko 1L, Fernandez 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 79%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Jelena Ostapenko 91% · Leylah Fernandez 9% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Ostapenko ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Ostapenko–Fernandez order).
Jelena Ostapenko projected to win · 76% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 5%6-3 6-2 · 3%6-1 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 57% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →