● LIVE
VS
OstapenkoShnaider
Jelena Ostapenko vs Diana Shnaider
WTA Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 6-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWuhan, China PR
💰 Prize pool$3,654,963
☁️ Weather19°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeOstapenko $19.4M · Shnaider $4.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Ostapenko (Elo 1691) meets Shnaider (Elo 1760). The model favours Shnaider at 60%. Form: Ostapenko 1L, Shnaider 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 40%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Jelena Ostapenko 42% · Diana Shnaider 58% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Ostapenko ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Ostapenko–Shnaider order).
Diana Shnaider projected to win · 61% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 2%6-3 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →