FT
VS
OstapenkoKartal
Jelena Ostapenko vs Sonay Kartal
WTA Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open · Semifinal · Hard · 6-7(9) 6-7(5)
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueWuhan, China PR
💰 Prize pool$3,654,963
💰 Career prizeOstapenko $19.4M · Kartal $1.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 43%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Jelena Ostapenko 22% · Sonay Kartal 78% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Ostapenko ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Ostapenko–Kartal order).
Sonay Kartal projected to win · 61% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 2%2-6 4-6 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-7(9) 6-7(5)