● LIVE
VS
FernandezMertens
Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens
WTA BNB Ningbo Open · Round 1 · Hard · 2-6 6-3 0-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueNingbo, China PR
💰 Prize pool$1,206,446
☁️ Weather23°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeFernandez $7.7M · Mertens $18.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Fernandez (Elo 1456) meets Mertens (Elo 1727). The model favours Mertens at 83%. Form: Fernandez 2L, Mertens 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 17%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Leylah Fernandez 26% · Elise Mertens 74% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Fernandez ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Fernandez–Mertens order).
Elise Mertens projected to win · 84% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%4-6 2-6 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 4%
Straight sets 62% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →