FT
VS
AlexandrovaFernandez
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez
WTA BNB Ningbo Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 6-4 2-6 1-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueNingbo, China PR
💰 Prize pool$1,206,446
💰 Career prizeAlexandrova $10.3M · Fernandez $7.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 79%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Ekaterina Alexandrova 3% · Leylah Fernandez 97% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Alexandrova ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Alexandrova–Fernandez order).
Ekaterina Alexandrova projected to win · 78% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 6%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-1 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 57% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-4 2-6 1-6