FT
VS
SakatsumeBoulter
Himeno Sakatsume vs Katie Boulter
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Round 1 · Hard · 2-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
💰 Career prizeSakatsume $465K · Boulter $4.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 28%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Himeno Sakatsume 41% · Katie Boulter 59% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Sakatsume ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Sakatsume–Boulter order).
Katie Boulter projected to win · 72% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%2-6 4-6 · 3%4-6 2-6 · 3%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 2-1