● LIVE
VS
SakatsumeBoulter
Himeno Sakatsume vs Katie Boulter
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Round 1 · Hard · 3-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
⛅ Weather19°C · Partly cloudy
💰 Career prizeSakatsume $465K · Boulter $4.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Sakatsume (Elo 1535) meets Boulter (Elo 1700). The model favours Boulter at 72%. Form: Sakatsume 1L, Boulter 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 28%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Himeno Sakatsume 14% · Katie Boulter 86% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Sakatsume ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Sakatsume–Boulter order).
Katie Boulter projected to win · 72% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 5%2-6 4-6 · 3%4-6 2-6 · 3%
Straight sets 55% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →