FT
VS
SamsonovaTagger
Liudmila Samsonova vs Lilli Tagger
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Round 1 · Hard · 3-6 3-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
💰 Career prizeSamsonova $7.9M · Tagger $278K
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 54%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Liudmila Samsonova 5% · Lilli Tagger 95% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Samsonova ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Samsonova–Tagger order).
Liudmila Samsonova projected to win · 53% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 3%6-3 6-4 · 2%6-4 6-3 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 3-6 3-6