● LIVE
VS
JonesLi
Emerson Jones vs Ann Li
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Round 1 · Hard · 7-5 0-6 3-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
☁️ Weather20°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeJones $2K · Li $3.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Jones (Elo 1547) meets Li (Elo 1291). The model favours Jones at 81%. Form: Jones 2L, Li 7L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 81%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Emerson Jones 6% · Ann Li 94% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Jones ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Jones–Li order).
Emerson Jones projected to win · 80% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%6-3 6-2 · 3%6-4 6-3 · 3%
Straight sets 59% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →