FT
VS
BirrellKartal
Kimberly Birrell vs Sonay Kartal
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Round 1 · Hard · 3-6 2-6
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
💰 Career prizeBirrell $2.7M · Kartal $1.9M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 36%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Kimberly Birrell 52% · Sonay Kartal 48% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Birrell ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Birrell–Kartal order).
Sonay Kartal projected to win · 62% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%4-6 2-6 · 2%6-3 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 51% · avg ~24 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 3-6 2-6