● LIVE
VS
SiniakovaKrueger
Katerina Siniakova vs Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Final · Hard · 5-1
🕐 Time04:30 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
🌤️ Weather19°C · Mainly clear
💰 Career prizeSiniakova $16.6M · Krueger $3.2M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Siniakova (Elo 1676) meets Krueger (Elo 1615). The model favours Siniakova at 59%. Form: Siniakova 1L, Krueger 3L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 59%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Katerina Siniakova 79% · Ashlyn Krueger 21% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Siniakova ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Siniakova–Krueger order).
Katerina Siniakova projected to win · 55% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 4-6 · 2%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 49% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →