● LIVE
VS
TaggerLi
Lilli Tagger vs Ann Li
WTA Kinoshita Group Japan Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 4-6 3-1
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueOsaka, Japan
☁️ Weather13°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeTagger $278K · Li $3.5M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Tagger (Elo 1592) meets Li (Elo 1291). The model favours Tagger at 85%. Form: Tagger 4L, Li 7L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 85%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Lilli Tagger 35% · Ann Li 65% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Tagger ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Tagger–Li order).
Lilli Tagger projected to win · 84% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-1 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 61% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →