FT
VS
PohankovaOsaka
Mia Pohankova vs Naomi Osaka
WTA Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · Round 2 · Hard · 6-3 7-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueTokyo, Japan
💰 Prize pool$1,206,446
💰 Career prizePohankova $53K · Osaka $25.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 20%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Mia Pohankova 62% · Naomi Osaka 38% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Pohankova ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Pohankova–Osaka order).
Naomi Osaka projected to win · 80% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%4-6 2-6 · 3%2-6 4-6 · 3%
Straight sets 58% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 6-3 7-5