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MertensFernandez
Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez
WTA Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · Round 2 · Hard · 2-6 5-5
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueTokyo, Japan
💰 Prize pool$1,206,446
☀️ Weather11°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeMertens $18.8M · Fernandez $7.7M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
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On Hard, Mertens (Elo 1727) meets Fernandez (Elo 1456). The model favours Mertens at 83%. Form: Mertens 1L, Fernandez 2L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 83%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Elise Mertens 48% · Leylah Fernandez 52% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Mertens ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mertens–Fernandez order).
Elise Mertens projected to win · 83% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 5%6-3 6-2 · 4%6-1 6-4 · 3%
Straight sets 61% · avg ~23 games · projection accuracy →