● LIVE
VS
DartBadosa
Harriet Dart vs Paula Badosa
WTA Guangzhou Open · Quarterfinal · Hard · 3-6 6-2 5-4
🕐 Time04:00 UTC
📍 VenueGuangzhou, China PR
💰 Prize pool$283,347
☀️ Weather24°C · Clear
💰 Career prizeDart $3.4M · Badosa $9.6M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Dart (Elo 1459) meets Badosa (Elo 1434). The model favours Dart at 54%. Form: Dart 1L, Badosa 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 54%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Harriet Dart 90% · Paula Badosa 10% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Dart ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Dart–Badosa order).
Harriet Dart projected to win · 53% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 4-6 · 3%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →