Qualifying 1st Round
VS
MochizukiDaniel
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Taro Daniel
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Qualifying 1st Round · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
☁️ Weather19°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeMochizuki $1.4M · Daniel $9.3M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Mochizuki (Elo 1441) meets Daniel (Elo 1462). The model favours Daniel at 53%. Form: Mochizuki 3L, Daniel 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 47%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Mochizuki–Daniel order).
Taro Daniel projected to win · 55% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 3%4-6 2-6 · 2%
Straight sets 50% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →