Qualifying 1st Round
VS
DougazSonego
Aziz Dougaz vs Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Qualifying 1st Round · Hard
🕐 Time04:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueShanghai, China PR
☁️ Weather19°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeDougaz $685K · Sonego $9.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Hard, Dougaz (Elo 1397) meets Sonego (Elo 1617). The model favours Sonego at 78%. Form: Dougaz 4L, Sonego 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 22%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Dougaz–Sonego order).
Lorenzo Sonego projected to win · 77% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 8%4-6 6-7 · 4%2-6 4-6 · 3%
Straight sets 57% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →