Round 1
VS
RunePaul
Holger Rune vs Tommy Paul
ATP Rolex Paris Masters · Round 1 · Clay
🕐 Time05:00 UTC ·
📍 VenueParis, France
☁️ Weather8°C · Overcast
💰 Career prizeRune $15.7M · Paul $13.8M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
📝 Preview
On Clay, Rune (Elo 1792) meets Paul (Elo 1790). The model favours Rune at 50%. Form: Rune 1L, Paul 1L.
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 50%
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Rune–Paul order).
Holger Rune projected to win · 50% — most likely 4-6 4-6
4-6 4-6 · 4%6-3 6-4 · 3%6-7 3-6 · 2%
Straight sets 49% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →