FT
VS
SonegoBellucci
Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci
ATP Rolex Paris Masters · Round 1 · Clay · 4-6 3-6
🕐 Time05:00 UTC
📍 VenueParis, France
💰 Career prizeSonego $9.8M · Bellucci $2.1M
🎟️ TicketsFind tickets ↗
📏 Distance
Predictions — Win probability
Elo 52%
📈 Win-probability timeline
Lorenzo Sonego 11% · Mattia Bellucci 89% — dashed = set boundary; above midline = Sonego ahead
🎾 Projected Score
From 4,000 Monte-Carlo runs on the Elo ratings — a likely-score estimate (Sonego–Bellucci order).
Lorenzo Sonego projected to win · 53% — most likely 6-3 6-4
6-3 6-4 · 4%4-6 4-6 · 4%7-6 6-4 · 2%
Straight sets 49% · avg ~25 games · projection accuracy →
Actual: 4-6 3-6